Aquapolis: crystal Lugia is the Pokémon card to chase

This Lugia is a Pokémon card from the e-Card era, and its price is read every day. How many packs does it take to pull one? That figure is still missing, it comes in the last section. Its full page is on the Lugia card page.

Aquapolis: Lugia leads every holo

The Umbreon holo comes next at $1,252.62, the Espeon holo at $289.99, and the Eevee common falls to $45.85. Between the top and the bottom of the set the gap runs to thousands of dollars: the crystal card pulls the whole set upward, not the ordinary holos. The commons make up most of a pack: they set the floor of the comparison, not its ceiling.

An Aquapolis Lugia rarely comes out of a pack

The set's crystal cards are Lugia, Kingdra and Nidoking, and they share the same rarity slot in the pack. Lugia is only one of them: its rate, lower than the whole slot's, is the grid above, worked out on one display.

That rate rests on medium confidence: the source data comes from collectors, not from the publisher. It is an order of magnitude. A display can hold none, or several, and the ordinary holos, far more frequent, carry most of the value of an opened pack. For a set of this period, the sealed display is paid for what it represents as a collectible, and its value cannot be deduced from the cards inside. Lugia is therefore judged on its own, card in hand, and the display separately, on what it represents to a collector.